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What this means. A wallet put $82.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$82.6k
BUY No @ 96.4¢ · 85,690 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet makinta took No (buy) for $82.6k at an average 96.4¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $82.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2678American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.4¢
- Implied odds
- 96.4%
- As American odds
- −2678 no vig
- Size
- $82.6k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 02:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 02:13 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- makinta
- Tx
- 0xcaf03bf3…
This wallet's graded record
7/7+5.9 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 96.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $115.6k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $89.2k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $53.2k | called |