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What this means. A wallet put $21.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.5k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet TealV took No (sell) for $21.5k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- Size
- $21.5k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 14:59 EST
- Market close
- Feb 13, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TealV
- Tx
- 0xc892fc25…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-9.7 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -14 ptsNo price · entry 86¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.1k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $468.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $79.8k | excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $71.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $34.9k | excluded |