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What this means. A wallet put $24.5k on Under, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5excluded
$24.5k
BUY Under @ 35¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Under (buy) for $24.5k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
35¢
Implied odds
35.0%
As American odds
+186 no vig
Size
$24.5k
Placed
Jul 05, 19:06 EDT
Market close
Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0xc770cd2a…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -35 pts
Under price · entry 35¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 35¢ · $24.5k WHALE $24.5K @ 35¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $12.6k0% MD14111d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $14.4k0% LinkE5111d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $44.7k0% Emadmousavi111d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Under @ 51¢ $26.2k51% 0x2c33…0563111d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Under @ 48¢ $17.1k48% omnibus-076daa PROVEN111d agoexcluded
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5MED BUY Over @ 62¢ $97.9k
2.4× usual
62% CandleHammerDrums111d agoexcluded