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Thunder vs. Raptorsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $81.3k on Raptors, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Raptorsmissed$81.3k
BUY Raptors @ 55¢ · 149,030 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1h2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x6e82…752c took Raptors (buy) for $81.3k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $81.3k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−120American odds
$1.00paid per share if Raptors wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 54.6%
- As American odds
- −120 no vig
- Size
- $81.3k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 15:31 EST
- Market close
- Feb 24, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6e82…752c
- Tx
- 0xb14cf9af…
This wallet's graded record
15/18+23.2 pts
expected 10.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsRaptors price · entry 55¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Raptors | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $38.7k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | LOW BUY Thunder @ 90.8¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | LOW BUY Raptors @ 51¢ | $82.0k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | MED BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $140.1k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | MED BUY Raptors @ 51¢ | $51.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |