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What this means. A wallet put $490.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$490.4k
BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ · 493,310 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet MoronKiler took Yes (buy) for $490.4k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $490.4k+3
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 99.4%
- Size
- $490.4k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 01:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MoronKiler
- Tx
- 0xae701898…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |