← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.7 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$97.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$40.1k
Last 30 days −$95 · $3.23M volume · 3,363 trades · since Jun 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$41.9k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$263
Closed-position win rate
55%
367 closed
Wallet age · markets
142d
289 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 90.6¢ | $21.8k | called |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 94.4¢ | $38.2k | missed |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.3¢ | $15.7k | called |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x4e3de51057ed8c345ff6f5af6534c385927b8554"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x4e3de51057ed8c345ff6f5af6534c385927b8554.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x4e3de5…