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What this means. A wallet put $16.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.3k
BUY No @ 91¢ · 17,895 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet stupid22 took No (buy) for $16.3k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- Size
- $16.3k
- Placed
- Apr 04, 02:35 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stupid22
- Tx
- 0xa96fe810…
This wallet's graded record
10/12-8.5 pts
expected 11.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +9 ptsNo price · entry 91¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $52.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $34.7k | excluded |