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What this means. A wallet put $28.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.9k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 72,301 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet wigglew took No (buy) for $28.9k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $28.9k
- Placed
- May 05, 14:30 EDT
- Market close
- May 05, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wigglew
- Tx
- 0xa8e52fdb…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-0.1 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsNo price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $160.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $49.8k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $23.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $1.60M 5.0× usual |
excluded |