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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$18.7k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0x4a3b…2eb3 bought Yes at 93¢. The price gave that side a 93% chance. 20,060 shares, Oct 29, 02:42 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x4a3b…2eb3 bought Yes for $18.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied 93% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +9.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 92.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $161.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $206.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $10.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $30.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $101.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $68.4k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |