← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $25.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.6k
SELL Yes @ 98.6¢ · 25,963 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hProven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (sell) for $25.6k at an average 98.6¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.6¢
- Implied odds
- 1.4%
- Size
- $25.6k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 12:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xa57cc018…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 98.6¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.2k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $599.4k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 7.4× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |