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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 11,676 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xe234…304a took Yes (buy) for $11.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 20:09 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xe234…304a
- Tx
- 0x084e5367…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.2k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $599.4k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 7.4× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $119.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |