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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
BUY No @ 61¢ · 26,732 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Niki0902 took No (buy) for $16.4k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−158American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 61.2%
- As American odds
- −158 no vig
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Jul 12, 09:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Niki0902
- Tx
- 0xa420e3e9…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+22.9 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +39 ptsNo price · entry 61¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 63.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |