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+$124No · avg 93.5¢ → 96.4¢ · $4,124+$106No · avg 96¢ → 98.6¢ · $4,106−$1,863No · avg 53¢ → 28¢ · $2,175−$141No · avg 95.9¢ → 82¢ · $859 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$1,655Yes · avg 51¢ → 8.9¢ · $353
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.3 wins, so it did +22.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+22.9 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.3
Flagged volume
$78.5k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$24.8k
Last 30 days −$3,028 · $524.6k volume · 246 trades · since Oct 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$77.0k
Open P&L · 31 positions
−$51.8k
Closed-position win rate
94%
80 closed
Wallet age · markets
385d
109 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | +22.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $16.4k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $15.4k | called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $46.7k 2.9× usual |
called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x227157…