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What this means. A wallet put $442.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$442.5k
BUY No @ 83¢ · 533,088 shares
Size ≥ $250kEarly (>24h before close)10.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Countryside took No (buy) for $442.5k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $442.5k+3
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−488American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.0%
- As American odds
- −488 no vig
- Size
- $442.5k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 09:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Countryside
- Tx
- 0xa2b6dae6…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-2.0 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 61.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |