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What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?called
$19.3k
BUY No @ 96.6¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tetrase took No (buy) for $19.3k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2841American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.6¢
Implied odds
96.6%
Size
$19.3k
Placed
Apr 10, 16:28 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0xa047cf4f…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
No price · entry 96.6¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96.6¢ · $19.3k WHALE $19.3K @ 96.6¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% anoin123191d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.5k100% onekey09192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% esports095192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.2k0% sameday1193d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $34.7k100% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM193d agoexcluded