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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 11,732 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet elmcap2 took No (buy) for $11.6k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6387American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 10:55 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elmcap2
- Tx
- 0xa00ca22b…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+3.7 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $54.6k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |