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Thunder vs. Raptorsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $57.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.1k
BUY Thunder @ 50¢ · 114,138 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet hotdogcat took Thunder (buy) for $57.1k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $57.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $57.1k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 19:07 EST
- Market close
- Feb 24, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- hotdogcat
- Tx
- 0x9adcda05…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-18.1 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsThunder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $38.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 90.8¢ | $25.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Raptors @ 51¢ | $82.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $140.1k 3.9× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Raptors @ 51¢ | $51.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |