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What this means. A wallet put $57.1k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Thunder vs. Raptorsexcluded
$57.1k
BUY Thunder @ 50¢ · 114,138 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet hotdogcat took Thunder (buy) for $57.1k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $57.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$57.1k
Placed
Feb 24, 19:07 EST
Market close
Feb 24, 19:30 EST
Result
Thunder
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
hotdogcat
Tx
0x9adcda05…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-18.1 pts
expected 3.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +50 pts
Thunder price · entry 50¢ · resolved Thunder
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $57.1k WHALE $57.1K @ 50¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Thunder vs. RaptorsLOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xd359…6007241d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. RaptorsLOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ $38.7k100% rwo242d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. RaptorsLOW BUY Thunder @ 90.8¢ $25.4k91% Zetalias242d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. RaptorsLOW BUY Raptors @ 51¢ $82.0k51% 0x4924…3782242d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. RaptorsMED BUY Thunder @ 48¢ $140.1k
3.9× usual
48% DrPufferfish242d agoexcluded
Thunder vs. RaptorsMED BUY Raptors @ 51¢ $51.1k
2.5× usual
51% 0x1b4d…e246242d agoexcluded