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What this means. A wallet put $28.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.3k
SELL Yes @ 24¢ · 117,744 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet coali10 took Yes (sell) for $28.3k at an average 24¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 24¢
- Implied odds
- 76.0%
- Size
- $28.3k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 18:12 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- coali10
- Tx
- 0x95177a2f…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+23.4 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $99.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $109.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $27.4k | excluded |