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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$22.9k
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
0x4488…e319 bought Yes at 72¢. The price gave that side a 72% chance. 31,745 shares, Oct 29, 05:36 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 bought Yes for $22.9k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied 72% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +4.5 ptsYes price · entry 72¢ · now 76¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysDemocrats have an identity crisis - it won't be an easy fixBBC News · 5h agoCan Democrats win against Elon Musk's millions in Texas? – videoThe Guardian · 20h agoFour investigations Democrats could launch if they win control of CongressBBC News · 1d agoWatch: BBC asks Democrat El-Sayed about tight Michigan Senate raceBBC News · 3d ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $22.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $19.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 26¢ | $13.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |