Polymarket · Politics · one bet
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
0x7e1b…68cb bought Yes at 74¢. The price gave that side a 74% chance. 25,676 shares, Oct 29, 15:04 EDT.
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What happened
Wallet 0x7e1b…68cb bought Yes for $19.0k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied 74% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.5 ptsRelated news
Same names, last 7 daysPublic RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $22.8k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 26¢ | $13.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $22.9k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.
| NO Mike Rogers | $12.8k | 71¢ | 10h ago |
| YES Mike Rogers | $60.5k | 31¢ | 14h ago |