Polymarket · Politics · one bet
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Chelseaone bought Yes at 76¢. The price gave that side a 76% chance. 30,000 shares, Oct 29, 17:32 EDT.
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What happened
Wallet Chelseaone bought Yes for $22.8k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied 76% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsRelated news
Same names, last 7 daysPublic RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $19.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 26¢ | $13.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $22.9k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.
| NO Mike Rogers | $12.8k | 71¢ | 11h ago |
| YES Mike Rogers | $60.5k | 31¢ | 14h ago |