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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$13.3k

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

DickTurbin sold No at 26¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 74% chance. 51,191 shares, Oct 29, 13:35 EDT.

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Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet DickTurbin sold No for $13.3k at an average 26¢. At that price the market implied 74% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $13.3k+0
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +3.0 pts
No price · entry 26¢ · now 23¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
19¢25¢31¢ Whale entry 26¢ · $13.3k WHALE $13.3K @ 26¢ +3 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
Can Democrats win against Elon Musk's millions in Texas? – videoThe Guardian · 11h agoFour investigations Democrats could launch if they win control of CongressBBC News · 1d agoWatch: BBC asks Democrat El-Sayed about tight Michigan Senate raceBBC News · 3d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢ $22.8k76% Chelseaone44m agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ $19.0k74% 0x7e1b…68cb NEW3h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $22.9k72% 0x4488…e31912h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY Yes @ 76¢$22.8k
LOW Chelseaone · 44m ago
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY Yes @ 74¢$19.0k
MED New wallet 0x7e1b…68cb · 3h ago
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?OpenResolves Nov 3
BUY Yes @ 72¢$22.9k
LOW 0x4488…e319 · 12h ago

Same event on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same event, which can be a different answer than this bet. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

NO Mike Rogers$12.8k71¢7h ago
YES Mike Rogers$60.5k31¢11h ago