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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY No @ 86¢ · 15,842 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet kindar took No (buy) for $13.6k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−597American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 85.7%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Aug 13, 20:09 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- kindar
- Tx
- 0x859f959a…
This wallet's graded record
8/9+15.3 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | MED BUY No @ 92.9¢ | $42.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 92.9¢ | $27.9k | called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $13.6k | missed |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $51.3k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $25.0k | called |