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What this means. A wallet put $51.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.3k
BUY No @ 83¢ · 61,541 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.7× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet dromedaryy took No (buy) for $51.3k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $51.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−499American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.3%
- Size
- $51.3k
- Placed
- Sep 18, 20:01 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- dromedaryy
- Tx
- 0x7f541ddf…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+16.7 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +17 ptsNo price · entry 83¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | MED BUY No @ 92.9¢ | $42.5k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 92.9¢ | $27.9k | called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $13.6k | missed |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $25.0k | called |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $10.4k | missed |