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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$11.6k

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

11122 sold No at 32¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 68% chance. 36,150 shares, Oct 29, 23:50 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 11122 sold No for $11.6k at an average 32¢. At that price the market implied 68% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.6k+0
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.5 pts
No price · entry 32¢ · now 32¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
27¢32¢36¢ Whale entry 32¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 32¢ +1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $13.8k69% Lolakis5h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $10.0k68% 52centis10h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $14.2k68% VEQT10h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW SELL Yes @ 67¢ $23.3k33% 0xe234…304a14h agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ $12.4k34% Pvgren1d agoOpenResolves Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ $10.0k67% Tennis1d agoOpenResolves Nov 3