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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$12.4k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Pvgren sold Yes at 66¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 34% chance. 18,820 shares, Oct 28, 10:40 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet Pvgren sold Yes for $12.4k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied 34% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $12.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -2.5 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · now 68¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.2k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL Yes @ 67¢ | $23.3k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $10.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY Yes @ 67¢ | $20.0k | OpenResolves Nov 3 |