← Wallets
+$13.3kNo · avg 39¢ → 61¢ · $37.0k−$4,152No · avg 19¢ → 14¢ · $14.0k−$1,828No · avg 31¢ → 22¢ · $4,136+$694Yes · avg 23¢ → 33¢ · $2,263−$548Yes · avg 10¢ → 7.5¢ · $1,652+$156No · avg 26¢ → 44¢ · $389+$38No · avg 33¢ → 52¢ · $103
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -27.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-27.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$33.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±44.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$39.2k
Last 30 days +$23.2k · $3.24M volume · 2,366 trades · since Jul 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$44.6k
Open P&L · 7 positions
+$7,681
Closed-position win rate
37%
188 closed
Wallet age · markets
469d
192 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -27.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 27¢ | $10.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcb4c32…