← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+2.3 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.2k
SELL No @ 98.1¢ · 20,566 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ArmageddonRewardsBilly took No (sell) for $20.2k at an average 98.1¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.1¢
- Implied odds
- 1.9%
- Size
- $20.2k
- Placed
- May 24, 22:55 EDT
- Market close
- May 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly
- Tx
- 0x7c9ed8f7…
This wallet's graded record
13/28+2.3 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 98.1¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $112.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $22.5k | excluded |