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+$48Yes · avg 97.8¢ → 98.2¢ · $11.9k+$25Yes · avg 97.3¢ → 97.5¢ · $10.3k+$35No · avg 98.2¢ → 98.6¢ · $9,139−$859No · avg 95.3¢ → 84¢ · $6,531 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$57No · avg 97.2¢ → 98.1¢ · $6,345+$129Yes · avg 90.2¢ → 94.5¢ · $2,835 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$146No · avg 95.5¢ → 90.8¢ · $2,760−$19No · avg 94.7¢ → 93.8¢ · $2,232
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$129.3k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$93.1k
Last 30 days +$3,553 · $8.43M volume · 15,535 trades · since Dec 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$105.2k
Open P&L · 47 positions
−$6,084
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
313d
1301 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ | $11.4k | pending |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $40.4k 2.2× usual |
missed |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 54¢ | $16.2k | missed |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92.9¢ | $16.9k | called |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97.2¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x778995…