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What this means. A wallet put $29.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?excluded
$29.8k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet mr.ozi took No (sell) for $29.8k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $29.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.2¢
Implied odds
0.8%
Size
$29.8k
Placed
May 29, 11:00 EDT
Market close
May 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mr.ozi
Tx
0x68bf30ae…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.2¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.2¢ · $29.8k WHALE $29.8K @ 99.2¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $76.9k
4.3× usual
0% KiernanMeister146d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.3k0% beatyesterday146d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $46.3k
2.3× usual
0% 0xdamocles147d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.8k100% 0xcf19…6402147d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $112.6k
2.2× usual
100% elmcap2147d agoexcluded
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $22.5k0% cezarn132147d agoexcluded