WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $32.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?called
$32.1k
BUY No @ 96.6¢ · 33,198 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tsybka took No (buy) for $32.1k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $32.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2841American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96.6¢
Implied odds
96.6%
Size
$32.1k
Placed
Mar 16, 10:26 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsybka
Tx
0x664a4cf9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+71.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k
2.1× usual
0% alliswell206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.0k0% Aeglos206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% frostnovae206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% abuzzin206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.4k
2.8× usual
0% MetaloidManiac206d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $369.4k
9.9× usual
0% Erasmus. PROVEN206d agoexcluded