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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -21.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 25,795 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet denizz took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−112American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 52.7%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Aug 01, 22:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- denizz
- Tx
- 0x65a91f4c…
This wallet's graded record
7/24-21.7 pts
expected 12.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $14.2k | excluded |