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Spread: Bengals (-2.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on Bengals, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+7.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)excluded$12.5k
BUY Bengals @ 50¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Bengals (buy) for $12.5k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Jaguars. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bengals wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 12:18 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Jaguars
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0x65645c56…
This wallet's graded record
16/23+7.5 pts
expected 14.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsBengals price · entry 50¢ · resolved Jaguars
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | MED BUY Jaguars @ 50¢ | $48.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 50¢ | $79.6k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $22.5k | missed |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | MED BUY Jaguars @ 49¢ | $127.0k 2.2× usual |
called |