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LaarsY

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.3 wins, so it did +18.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+18.2 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.3
Flagged volume
$101.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$34.9k
Last 30 days +$28.7k · $11.00M volume · 94,935 trades · since Jul 06, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.39M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$974.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
110d
7178 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports432.3+18.2 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Kings vs. IslandersLOW BUY Kings @ 49¢ $10.1k49% 2d agocalled
Kings vs. ClippersLOW BUY Clippers @ 64¢ $12.8k64% 3d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ $15.3k85% 4d agoexcluded
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ $10.2k51% 20d agomissed
Rams vs. EaglesLOW BUY Rams @ 63¢ $18.9k63% 20d agocalled
Giants vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 72¢ $21.6k72% 33d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW BUY Spain @ 62¢ $12.4k62% 102d agoexcluded

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