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Spread: Bengals (-2.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $127.0k on Jaguars, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+15.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)called$127.0k
BUY Jaguars @ 49¢ · 259,122 shares
Size ≥ $100kProven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Kch-Temp took Jaguars (buy) for $127.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Jaguars, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $127.0k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Jaguars wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $127.0k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 11:32 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Jaguars
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Kch-Temp
- Tx
- 0xf0031892…
This wallet's graded record
14/23+15.5 pts
expected 10.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsJaguars price · entry 49¢ · resolved Jaguars
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | MED BUY Jaguars @ 50¢ | $48.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 50¢ | $79.6k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 50¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $22.5k | missed |
| Spread: Bengals (-2.5) | LOW BUY Bengals @ 51¢ | $10.2k | missed |