← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $78.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$78.4k
SELL No @ 82¢ · 95,694 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (sell) for $78.4k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $78.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 18.1%
- As American odds
- +452 no vig
- Size
- $78.4k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 18:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x61b7732d…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |