← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $204.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$204.6k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 240,773 shares
Size ≥ $100kEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet4.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (buy) for $204.6k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $204.6k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−566American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- As American odds
- −566 no vig
- Size
- $204.6k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 15:01 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x60a1a697…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |