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Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $164.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?excluded$164.0k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 241,176 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Yes (buy) for $164.0k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $164.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $164.0k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 23:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Winnerdinnerchickenjr
- Tx
- 0x4f52fcbd…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsYes price · entry 68¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $83.0k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |