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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed
$12.7k
BUY Yes @ 19¢ · 65,743 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet Ano0os161 took Yes (buy) for $12.7k at an average 19¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 19¢ means
19%chance the market gave
+417American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
19¢
Implied odds
19.3%
As American odds
+417 no vig
Size
$12.7k
Placed
Jul 14, 18:14 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Ano0os161
Tx
0x4f2d7b96…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -19 pts
Yes price · entry 19¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 19¢ · $12.7k WHALE $12.7K @ 19¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Djdjdjekekek97d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
2.7× usual
100% bin7484848484897d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $53.9k100% 0x2c33…056397d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 77¢ $104.3k
4.7× usual
77% SquareBobSpongePants97d agocalled
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ $14.8k97% RN197d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 82¢ $35.0k
2.1× usual
82% orange.juice97d agocalled