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What this means. A wallet put $21.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded
$21.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ · 21,520 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet AngryRhino took Yes (sell) for $21.4k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $21.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.3¢
Implied odds
0.7%
Size
$21.4k
Placed
Jan 03, 05:10 EST
Market close
Jan 03, 07:14 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AngryRhino
Tx
0x489932b1…
This wallet's graded record
5/13-24.1 pts
expected 8.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
Yes price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.3¢ · $21.4k WHALE $21.4K @ 99.3¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k0% 0xf3d2…a162294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $509.8k
6.4× usual
100% Official-Market-Maker294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $14.2k0% 0x7cc9…b8a8294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
100% aviato294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.4k100% TeemuPukki294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $35.1k0% 0x5fe1…33e4294d agoexcluded