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What this means. A wallet put $41.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.8k
BUY No @ 95.9¢ · 43,588 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Anjun took No (buy) for $41.8k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2323American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.9¢
- Implied odds
- 95.9%
- Size
- $41.8k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 20:49 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Anjun
- Tx
- 0x4608b6aa…
This wallet's graded record
7/11-1.1 pts
expected 7.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |