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What this means. A wallet put $41.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?called
$41.8k
BUY No @ 95.9¢ · 43,588 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Anjun took No (buy) for $41.8k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $41.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2323American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95.9¢
Implied odds
95.9%
Size
$41.8k
Placed
Mar 16, 20:49 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Anjun
Tx
0x4608b6aa…
This wallet's graded record
7/11-1.1 pts
expected 7.1 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
0% westminster203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% manekineko203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% ThanksGivingTurkey1001203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
4.4× usual
0% tetrase203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% TheMayor203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% uycghj4204d agoexcluded