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Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $147.5k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded$147.5k
BUY Patriots @ 37¢ · 401,492 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Sassy-Bucket took Patriots (buy) for $147.5k at an average 37¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $147.5k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 37¢ means
37%chance the market gave
+172American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 37¢
- Implied odds
- 36.7%
- As American odds
- +172 no vig
- Size
- $147.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 20:23 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Sassy-Bucket
- Tx
- 0x40b025b8…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-16.2 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsPatriots price · entry 37¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Patriots @ 19¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 70¢ | $107.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 73¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.1k | excluded |