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What this means. A wallet put $13.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.6k
BUY Yes @ 96¢ · 14,143 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $13.6k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- Size
- $13.6k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 21:36 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x3eebbcd0…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |