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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US forces enter Iran by March 31?called
$14.0k
BUY No @ 79¢ · 17,814 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet ThewhitewhaleV2 took No (buy) for $14.0k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−372American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
78.8%
Size
$14.0k
Placed
Mar 29, 15:53 EDT
Market close
Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ThewhitewhaleV2
Tx
0x3e242399…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+21.2 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +21 pts
No price · entry 79¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 79¢ · $14.0k WHALE $14.0K @ 79¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.4× usual
0% dube203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $41.2k0% Trustinghorse203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $249.8k
9.3× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.9k0% yougotme203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $97.4k
3.6× usual
0% Melody626203d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $48.8k
2.4× usual
0% EddyAncogld203d agoexcluded