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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 15¢ · 97,244 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 15¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 15¢ means
15%chance the market gave
+548American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 15¢
- Implied odds
- 15.4%
- As American odds
- +548 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 15:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xf559…f462
- Tx
- 0x3c104243…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |