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What this means. A wallet put $16.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.0k
SELL Yes @ 16¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet redvinny took Yes (sell) for $16.0k at an average 16¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 16¢
- Implied odds
- 84.0%
- As American odds
- −525 no vig
- Size
- $16.0k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 02:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0x3bb429a1…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $37.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $43.5k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $2.57M 62.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $30.3k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 97¢ | $26.7k | missed |