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What this means. A wallet put $90.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?called
$90.0k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 140,625 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet john928 took Yes (buy) for $90.0k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $90.0k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
64¢
Implied odds
64.0%
As American odds
−178 no vig
Size
$90.0k
Placed
Jun 20, 13:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
john928
Tx
0x39299694…
This wallet's graded record
2/3-10.0 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +36 pts
Yes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 64¢ · $90.0k WHALE $90.0K @ 64¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.2k0% omnibus-00c8ef125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.6k0% hhhhhhhh067125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% tttrtrtrtrtr125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.4k0% Lionel-Musk125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $83.0k
5.1× usual
0% tony912125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $38.2k0% crypto-ericwu125d agoexcluded