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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?excluded
$24.9k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tetrase took No (sell) for $24.9k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.5¢
Implied odds
0.5%
Size
$24.9k
Placed
Apr 14, 03:21 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0x3735a153…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.5¢ · $24.9k WHALE $24.9K @ 99.5¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% anoin123192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.5k100% onekey09192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% esports095193d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.2k0% sameday1193d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $34.7k100% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM193d agoexcluded