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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY Yes @ 97.8¢ · 14,918 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $14.6k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4445American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- May 21, 12:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x2c285900…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |