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What this means. A wallet put $23.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.4k
SELL Yes @ 97.5¢ · 23,982 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Hashbrown took Yes (sell) for $23.4k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.5¢
- Implied odds
- 2.5%
- Size
- $23.4k
- Placed
- May 23, 12:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Hashbrown
- Tx
- 0x2c1a89bc…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+6.9 pts
expected 6.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $150.8k 5.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $248.4k 8.3× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $256.9k 9.0× usual |
excluded |